Friday, June 6, 2014

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 6-6-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Dollar Directionless as NFP Met Expectation

Dollar is mildly higher against yen in early US session after employment data release but no follow through buying was seen. The greenback is also stuck in tight range against European majors. Non-farm payroll showed 217k growth in May, basically inline with expectation of 219k. Prior month's figure was revised slightly down from 288k to 282k. Unemployment rate was unchanged at 6.3% versus expectation of a rise to 6.4%.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 102.24; (P) 102.49; (R1) 102.66; More...

Some volatility is seen in USD/JPY in early US session but outlook is unchanged. With 102.13 minor support intact, further rise is still in favor for 103.10 resistance and above. Consolidation pattern from 100.75 is still in progress with rise from 100.82 as the third leg. Thus, we'd expect strong resistance from 104.12 to limit upside and bring reversal. Below 102.13 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 100.75 instead.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
05:00 JPY Leading Index Apr P 106.6 106.2 107.1
06:00 EUR German Trade Balance (EUR) Apr 17.7B 14.3B 14.8B
06:00 EUR German Industrial Production M/M Apr 0.20% 0.40% -0.50%
07:15 CHF CPI M/M May 0.30% 0.20% 0.10%
07:15 CHF CPI Y/Y May 0.20% 0.10% 0.00%
08:30 GBP Visible Trade Balance (GBP) Apr -9.6B -8.7B -8.5B -8.3B
12:30 CAD Net Change in Employment May 25.8K 21.5K -28.9K
12:30 CAD Unemployment Rate May 7.00% 6.90% 6.90%
12:30 USD Change in Non-farm Payrolls May 217K 219K 288K 282K
12:30 USD Unemployment Rate May 6.30% 6.40% 6.30%
     
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency jumped to 2-week high shortly after the release of US job data, offers at 1.3665-75 were filled but sell orders are still noted at 1.3680-1.3700 area, selling interest is located at 1.3725-50 area with stops placed above latter level. On the downside, bids are reported at 1.3620 and 1.3600, more buy orders are tipped at 1.3575, 1.3550-60 and 1.3525, decent demand remains at 1.3500, 1.3475 and 1.3450.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Buy at 1.6760

As the British pound has maintained a firm undertone after staging a strong rebound yesterday, adding credence to our view that a temporary low has been formed at 1.6693 last week and consolidation with upside bias remains for retracement of recent decline to 1.6860, however, near term overbought condition should prevent further sharp rise beyond resistance at 1.6882 and reckon 1.6900 would hold from here, bring another decline.

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Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD - Buy at 1.3575

Although the single currency resumed recent decline to as low as 1.3503, the subsequent reversal signal market has rejected this low and consolidation above this level is in store for several days with mild upside bias for correction of recent decline towards 1.3700, however, reckon resistance at 1.3734 would limit upside and price should falter well below 1.3775-80.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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