Saturday, May 31, 2014

Finding Winning Trades Just Got Easier

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Action Insight Weekly Report 5-31-14

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Euro Lost Downside Momentum ahead of ECB and a Busy Week

European majors were generally lower against dollar and yen last week as markets were preparing or ECB easing actions on June 5. However, downside momentum in Euro, Swiss France and Sterling, was rather unconvincing. The majority of the markets expected the latest staff economic projection to be released this week to show inflation would stay well below the 2% target. And, ECB would likely lower all three main interest rates. The main refinancing rate could be cut from current 0.25% to 0.05%. Deposit rate could be cut correspondingly into negative territory. Meanwhile, ECB is expected to offer long-term loans to banks and pause sterilization of the crisis bond purchases. All these actions would likely boost lending and weaken the common currency. While quantitative easing is a topic to be discussed among policymakers, it would most likely not adopted this time. However, traders seemed to have scaled back some of the expectations on ECB, and there's clearly seen in the slowing pace in Euro's fall towards the end of last week.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD dropped to 1.6692 last week and the developments suggests that fall from 1.6995 has resumed. More importantly, the break of medium term channel support argues that whole rise from 1.4813 has completed at 1.6995, ahead of 1.7043 key resistance, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Initial bias is neutral this week for consolidations. But upside should be limited below 1.6921 and bring fall resumption. Below 1.6992 will target 1.6465 key support next.

Read more...

Suggested Readings

 

The Week in Review and Outlook

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Friday, May 30, 2014

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-30-14

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Markets Directionless ahead of Month End

Markets are rather directionless in the last trading day of May. European indices are mildly lower but there is no sustainable selling momentum. US futures point to a mildly lower open. In the forex markets, major pairs are generally staying in range. Over the week, Aussie is the winner, followed by the Japanese yen. Meanwhile, New Zealand dollar is the weakest, closely followed by Sterling. Economic data released from US saw personal income rose 0.3% in April, inline with expectation. Personal spending dropped -0.1% versus consensus of 0.2%. Headline PCE deflator accelerated to 1.6% yoy while PCE core accelerated to 1.2% yoy. Released from Canada, GDP rose 0.1% mom in March, inline with consensus. IPPI dropped -0.2% mom, RMPI rose 0.1% mom.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 101.52; (P) 101.68; (R1) 101.95; More...

USD/JPY's consolidative trading continues above 100.82 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As long as 102.36 resistance holds, deeper decline is still expected. Break of 100.75 key support will confirm resumption of whole decline from 105.41 and should target 100% projection of 105.41 to 100.75 from 104.12 at 99.46. However, note again that 100.61/75 represents a key support zone. And, bullish convergence condition is seen in 4 hours MACD. Break of 102.36 will indicate near term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 103.01 and above.

Read more...

Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Apr 1.50% 8.30% 9.20%
23:05 GBP GfK Consumer Sentiment May 0 -1 -3
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Apr 3.60% 3.60% 3.60%
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y Apr -4.60% -3.40% 7.20%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Apr 3.20% 3.10% 1.30%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y May 2.80% 2.90% 2.70%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Apr P -2.50% -1.90% 0.30% 0.70%
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Apr -3.30% -8.20% -2.90%
07:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator May 99.79 102.05 102.04 101.81
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Mar 0.10% 0.10% 0.20%
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Apr -0.20% 0.40% 0.40%
12:30 CAD Raw Materials Price Index M/M Apr 0.10% 1.20% 0.60%
12:30 USD Personal Income Apr 0.30% 0.30% 0.50%
12:30 USD Personal Spending Apr -0.10% 0.20% 0.90%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator M/M Apr 0.20% 0.20%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator Y/Y Apr 1.60% 1.10%
12:30 USD PCE Core M/M Apr 0.20% 0.20%
12:30 USD PCE Core Y/Y Apr 1.40% 1.20%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI May 60.2 63
13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence May F 82.9 81.8
     
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency continued to find good support just below 1.3600 and has rebounded in NY morning, offers at 1.3625 were filled but sell orders are expected at 1.3640, 1.3655-65 and 1.3680-1.3700 area, selling interest is tipped further out at 1.3715 and 1.3730 with stops placed above 1.3735. On the downside, good bids remain from 1.3600 down to 1.3575, more buy orders are tipped further out at 1.3550-60 (stops below barrier at 1.3550), fresh demand should emerge around 1.3525 and 1.3500 (another barrier).

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.6785

Cable's intra-day rebound has retained our view that minor consolidation above yesterday's low of 1.6693 would be seen and corrective bounce to 1.6765 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6882-1.6693) cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 1.6788-90 (50% Fibonacci retracement and current level of the upper Kumo) would limit upside and bring another decline later. A break of said support at 1.6693 would extend decline from 1.6996 top for further weakness to 1.6680, then towards  previous chart support at 1.6660

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Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Buy at 101.15

This week's retreat from 102.14 suggests the rise from 100.82 has formed a top there and near term downside risk remains for correction of this move to 101.30-35 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 100.82-102.14), however, downside should be limited to 101.00-05 and bring another rebound later. Above the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 101.89) would bring test of resistance at 102.14, break of this week's high would extend the rise from 100.82 towards previous resistance at 102.36

Read more...

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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Action Insight Daily Report 5-30-14

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: S&P 500 Continued Record Run, Dollar Mixed

Risk markets were firm ahead of month close. S&P 500 extend recent bull run and closed at another record high of 1920.03 overnight. The momentum didn't follow through to Asian markets, however, with major indices fluctuated between gain and loss. Dollar is still firm against Euro and Swiss Franc. But it lost some momentum ahead Sterling and Canadian. Also, the Aussie extended this week's recovery against the greenback and Yen is struggling to find a clear direction of itself. Some importantly economic data will be released from US and Canada later today, including US personal income and spending, as well Canadian GDP. But the reactions could be muted as markets would engage in more consolidations before June trading starts next week.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 101.52; (P) 101.68; (R1) 101.95; More...

USD/JPY is still staying in consolidative trading above 100.82 and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 102.36 resistance holds, deeper decline is still expected. Break of 100.75 key support will confirm resumption of whole decline from 105.41 and should target 100% projection of 105.41 to 100.75 from 104.12 at 99.46. However, note again that 100.61/75 represents a key support zone. And, bullish convergence condition is seen in 4 hours MACD. Break of 102.36 will indicate near term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 103.01 and above.

Read more...

Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Apr 1.50% 8.30% 9.20%
23:05 GBP GfK Consumer Sentiment May 0 -1 -3
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Apr 3.60% 3.60% 3.60%
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y Apr -4.60% -3.40% 7.20%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Apr 3.20% 3.10% 1.30%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y May 2.80% 2.90% 2.70%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Apr P -2.50% -1.90% 0.30% 0.70%
5:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Apr -3.30% -8.20% -2.90%
7:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator May 102.05 102.04
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Mar 0.10% 0.20%
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Apr 0.40% 0.40%
12:30 CAD Raw Materials Price Index M/M Apr 1.20% 0.60%
12:30 USD Personal Income Apr 0.30% 0.50%
12:30 USD Personal Spending Apr 0.20% 0.90%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator M/M Apr 0.20%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator Y/Y Apr 1.10%
12:30 USD PCE Core M/M Apr 0.20%
12:30 USD PCE Core Y/Y Apr 1.20%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI May 60.2 63
13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence May F 82.9 81.8
     
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency traded narrowly after recovering from intra-day low of 1.3586 and bids remain at 1.3575-85, more buy orders are tipped further out at 1.3550-60 (stops below barrier at 1.3550), fresh demand should emerge around 1.3525 and 1.3500 (another barrier). On the upside, offers at 1.3615-25 were filled but sell orders are expected at 1.3640, 1.3655-65 and 1.3680-1.3700 area, selling interest is tipped further out at 1.3715 and 1.3730 with stops placed above 1.3735.

Read more...

Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Buy at 101.15

This week's retreat from 102.14 suggests the rise from 100.82 has formed a top there and near term downside risk remains for correction of this move to 101.30-35 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 100.82-102.14), however, downside should be limited to 101.00-05 and bring another rebound later. Above the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 101.89) would bring test of resistance at 102.14, break of this week's high would extend the rise from 100.82 towards previous resistance at 102.36

Read more...

Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Sell at 1.0870

The greenback has dropped again today and retest of recent low of 1.0814 would be seen, break there would signal the c leg of wave iv is still in progress and extend the decline from 1.1279 (wave iii top) for a stronger correction of early upmove to 1.0800, then towards 1.0730-40 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0190-1.1279) but reckon downside would be limited to 1.0690-00 and price should stay above 1.0605-10 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), bring rebound later.

Read more...

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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Action Forex Company Limited | Room 1707, 17/F | Treasure Center | 42 Hung To Road | Kwun Tong | Kowloon | 852 | Hong Kong