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Wednesday, June 18, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 6-19-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Dollar Maintains Post FOMC Softness, SNB Next

Investors responded well to FOMC's announcement overnight where Fed reiterated the pledge to keep rates low for a "considerable time". S&P 500 rose 15 pts to close at historical high of 1956.98 while DOW closed higher by 98 pts at 16906.62. Dollar, on the other hand, stayed soft and extended recent consolidations. The dollar index spiraled lower and is trading at 80.38 for the moment, comparing to near term resistance of 81.02. In other markets, gold rode on dollar's softness and recovered back to as high as 1279.8, just shy of 1280 level. crude oil also recovered and stabilized above 106 level. Treasury yields lost steam with 10 year yield and 30 year yield closing mildly lower.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9350; (P) 0.9380; (R1) 0.9440; More...

AUD/USD got strong support after dipping to 0.9321 and recovered. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Above 0.9437 will target 0.9460 and break will resume whole rally from 0.8659. In such case, AUD/USD should target medium term fibonacci level at 0.9583 next. Meanwhile, below 0.9321 will suggest that consolidation from 0.9460 is going to extend further and will turn bias to the downside for 0.9211 support. In that case, strong support should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 0.8659 to 0.9460 at 0.9154 and bring rally resumption.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD GDP Q/Q Q1 1.00% 1.20% 0.90% 1.00%
22:45 NZD GDP Y/Y Q1 3.80% 3.70% 3.10%
4:30 JPY All Industry Activity Index M/M Apr -3.70% 1.50%
5:00 JPY Leading Economic Index Apr 107.1
7:30 CHF SNB Interest Rate Decision 0.00% 0.00%
8:30 GBP Retail Sales M/M May -0.50% 1.30%
10:00 GBP CBI Industrial Order Expectations Apr 2 0
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 13) 316K 317K
14:00 USD CB Leading Indicator M/M May 0.50% 0.40%
14:00 USD Philly Fed Survey May 14.8 15.4
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 107B
     
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency recovered ahead of FOMC, offers at 1.3570 were filled but sell orders are still noted from 1.3580 up to 1.3610, 1.3625 and 1.3640-50, selling interest is tipped further out at 1.3680-1.3700 region. On the downside, bids are raised to 1.3540 and 1.3500-20 area with stops building up below 1.3500, more buy orders are expected at 1.3475, 1.3450 and 1.3435, fresh demand should emerge around 1.3410-20 with mixture of bids and stops located at 1.3400.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Hold short entered at 1.0920

As the greenback has recovered after falling to 1.0836 yesterday, suggesting further consolidation above indicated support at 1.0814 would be seen, however, reckon 1.0900 would limit upside and bring another decline later, a break below said support at 1.0814 would indicate the c leg of wave iv is in progress and extend the decline from 1.1279 (wave iii top) for a stronger correction of early upmove to 1.0800, then towards 1.0730-40

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Trade Idea Wrap-up: USD/CHF - Hold short entered at 0.8990

As the greenback has retreated after holding below yesterday's high of 0.9005, retaining our near term bearishness and further consolidation below this week's high of 0.9013 would be seen with downside bias for test of 0.8960, break there would confirm the rebound from 0.8908 has ended and extend weakness to 0.8920, however, break of said support at 0.8908 is needed to signal another leg of decline from 0.9037 is underway for subsequent decline towards support at 0.8883.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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