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Daily Report: Dollar Mildly Head ahead of Busy Week, Manufacturing Data in Focus TodayDollar is generally higher as the week starts as markets are awaiting manufacturing data across the Atlantic. But momentum isn't too strong for the moment as dollar index is staying in range around 80.40. That's mainly because EUR/USD is struggling to find any clear direction and is staying in tight range above last week's low of 1.3585. In the European session, Swiss will release SVME PMI, Eurozone will release PMI manufacturing final, UK will release PMI manufacturing. From US, ISM manufacturing index will be featured. While some volatility would likely be triggered, traders will remain cautious ahead of the key events later this week, in particular the ECB rate announcement. | |
| Featured Technical Report | |
AUD/USD Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 0.9288; (P) 0.9308; (R1) 0.9328; More... AUD/USD drops sharpy today but is staying in recent range and intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 0.9460 is still in progress and below 0.9211 would extend lower. But, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.8659 to 0.9460 at 0.9154 and bring rally resumption. On the upside, above 0.9408 will argue that rise from 0.8659 is finally resuming for 0.9460 and above. |
| Economic Indicators Update |
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| Orders and Options Watch | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency continued to find good support just below 1.3600 and has rebounded in NY morning, offers at 1.3625 were filled but sell orders are expected at 1.3640, 1.3655-65 and 1.3680-1.3700 area, selling interest is tipped further out at 1.3715 and 1.3730 with stops placed above 1.3735. On the downside, good bids remain from 1.3600 down to 1.3575, more buy orders are tipped further out at 1.3550-60 (stops below barrier at 1.3550), fresh demand should emerge around 1.3525 and 1.3500 (another barrier). | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forex Trade Ideas | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.8050As the single currency has retreated after intra-day initial rise to 0.8153, suggesting consolidation would be seen and downside risk remains for recent decline to resume later, break of last week's low at 0.8081 would extend weakness to 0.8050-55, however, loss of downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below there and reckon this minor wave v would be limited to 0.8015-20, bring rebound later. Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Sell at 1.0910Despite intra-day fall to 1.0822, as the greenback has rebounded after holding above previous support at 1.0814, suggesting consolidation would be seen and recovery to 1.0885-90 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon resistance at 1.0942 (last week's high) should hold and bring another decline. A break of said support at 1.0814 would signal the c leg of wave iv is still in progress and extend the decline from 1.1279 (wave iii top) for a stronger correction of early upmove to 1.0800, then towards 1.0730-40 Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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