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Mid-Day Report: Sterling Mildly Lower after BoE Minutes, FOMC NextSterling weakens mildly today as BoE minutes for June meeting revealed that policy makers voted unanimously to keep rates unchanged at 0.50% and maintain the asset purchase size at GBP 375b. The minutes noted that "all members agreed that, in the absence of other inflationary pressures, it would be necessary to see more evidence of slack being absorbed before an increase in Bank Rate would be warranted." And, it warned that "a premature rise "could be associated with considerable costs in terms of lost output." However, some analysts noted that underneath the voting, the minutes showed a gradual chance in the tone of the MPC. In particular, the minutes noted that "the relatively low probability attached to a Bank Rate increase this year implied by some financial market prices was somewhat surprising". All in all, the minutes didn't provide enough "hawkishness" for markets to push Sterling further higher. And, traders would probably hold their bets back before another set of growth and inflation data from UK. | |
| Featured Technical Report | |
GBP/USD Mid-Day OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.6937; (P) 1.6962; (R1) 1.6988; More... Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as the consolidation from 1.7010 temporary top continues. Downside of consolidation should be contained above 1.6845 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. The larger rally from 1.4813 is still in progress and above 1.7010 will target 1.7043 key resistance. We'll look for reversal signal again above 1.7043 and as GBP/USD approaches long term fibonacci level of 1.7332. |
| Economic Indicators Update |
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| Orders and Options Watch | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency recovered ahead of FOMC, offers at 1.3570 were filled but sell orders are still noted from 1.3580 up to 1.3610, 1.3625 and 1.3640-50, selling interest is tipped further out at 1.3680-1.3700 region. On the downside, bids are raised to 1.3540 and 1.3500-20 area with stops building up below 1.3500, more buy orders are expected at 1.3475, 1.3450 and 1.3435, fresh demand should emerge around 1.3410-20 with mixture of bids and stops located at 1.3400. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forex Trade Ideas | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF - Hold short entered at 0.8990As the greenback has retreated after holding below yesterday's high of 0.9005, retaining our near term bearishness and further consolidation below this week's high of 0.9013 would be seen with downside bias for test of 0.8960, break there would confirm the rebound from 0.8908 has ended and extend weakness to 0.8920, however, break of said support at 0.8908 is needed to signal another leg of decline from 0.9037 is underway Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Sell at 102.50Although the greenback has retreated after intra-day initial rise to 102.31 and consolidation below this level is seen, break of 101.90 is needed to confirm top is formed and bring another test of support at 101.61 (last week's low), below there would extend the fall from 102.80 towards key support at 101.43, having said that, break there is needed to confirm the rise from 100.82 has ended at 102.80 earlier and further decline towards 101.20 would follow. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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