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Mid-Day Report: Dollar Higher after Strong Confidence and Home SalesDollar is broadly higher after release of some strong economic data. Conference Board consumer confidence rose strongly to 85.2 in June versus expectation of 83.6. That's the highest level since January 2008. New home sales surged to 504k annualized rate in May versus expectation of 442k. That 18.6% monthly rise was also the biggest since January 1992. Meanwhile, Philadelphia Fed Plosser said "the rebound after the bad winter seems to be progressing, the outlook for unemployment is a bit better, and the inflation rate appears to be firming." While the dollar strengthens, it's still bounded in familiar range against European majors and yen. | |
| Featured Technical Report | |
EUR/USD Mid-Day OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.3579; (P) 1.3596 (R1) 1.3619; More.... EUR/USD continues to stays in established range of 1.3502/3676 and intraday bias remains neutral. At this point, we're still favoring that a short term bottomed is formed at 1.3502 and expect another rise. Above 1.3676 will target 1.3993 resistance and break will extend the medium term up trend. However, below 1.3502 will turn focus to 1.3476 key support. Sustained break of 1.3476 will signal medium term reversal and carry bearish implications. |
| Economic Indicators Update |
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| Orders and Options Watch | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency has retreated in NY morning after intra-day cross-inspired rebound to 1.3628, however, bids are still noted at 1.3575-85, 1.3560 (stops below) and 1.3535-40, fresh demand should emerge around 1.3500-20 area with stops placed below 1.3500. On the upside, offers remain at 1.3630-50 area and 1.3670 (stops above), sizeable selling interest is expected at 1.3690-00 with more stops tipped above figure. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forex Trade Ideas | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Buy at 1.6900 or Sell at 1.7105Current cross-inspired retreat suggests a temporary top has possibly been formed at 1.7063 last week and consolidation with mild downside bias is seen for correction to 1.6935-40 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6738-1.7063), then test of previous support at 1.6922, however, reckon 1.6900 (50% Fibonacci retracement) would hold and bring another rise later. A break of said resistance at 1.7063 (last week's high)would extend recent upmove to 1.7090-95 Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Sell at 102.10As the greenback has rebounded again after finding good support right at yesterday's low of 101.82, suggesting further consolidation is in store and recovery to 102.10 cannot be ruled out, however, upside should be limited to 102.20 resistance and bring another decline, below said support would bring test of 101.70-74 and possibly towards last week's low of 101.61 but only a break of key support at 101.43 would confirm the rise from 100.82 has ended at 102.80 earlier Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Fundamental Highlights
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