Saturday, August 30, 2014

Action Insight Weekly Report 8-30-14

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Euro Broadly Lower as Focus Turns to ECB

Euro turned into consolidation after initial dip against the greenback last week. But finally, the common currency seemed to have given up on Friday and extended recent decline, closing near the weekly low at 1.3130 against dollar. Indeed, weakness of the euro was rather broad based. In particular, EUR/AUD and EUR/CAD were the two weakest pairs as Aussie and Canadian were both lifted by strength in the stock markets. That was in sharp contrast to Sterling, which remained relatively resilient in crosses even though there was practically no momentum for GBP/USD to stage a meaningful recovery during the week. Dollar and yen were mixed.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD edged lower to 1.6534 and formed a temporary bottom there and turned sideway. Initial bias is neutral this week for some sideway trading. But upside of recovery should be limited by 1.6737 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 1.6534 will extend the fall from 1.7190 to 1.6251 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.4813 to 1.7190 at 1.6282).

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Suggested Readings

 

The Week in Review and Outlook

 

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Friday, August 29, 2014

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 8-29-14

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: FX Markets Stay in Consolidation Mode

The forex markets continue to stay in consolidative mode in early US session, without any stimulus for fresh moves. Yen reversed some of the risk aversion triggered gains ad is back under pressure against other major currencies. Meanwhile, dollar continues to be mixed in tight range. Released from US, personal income rose 0.2% in July while spending dropped -0.1%. Headline PCE was unchanged at 1.6% yoy while core PCE was also unchanged at 1.5% yoy. Released from Canada, GDP rose 0.3% mom in June, inline with consensus. IPPI dropped -0.3% mom in July while RMPI dropped -1.4% mom.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9130; (P) 0.9145; (R1) 0.9165; More....

USD/CHF's consolidation from 0.9184 temporary top is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Another fall could be seen but we'd expect downside of pull back to be contained above 0.9022 support and bring resumption. Break of 0.9184 should target 161.8% projection of 0.8702 to 0.9036 from 0.8855 at 0.9395 next.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Jul 0.10% 3.50%
23:05 GBP GfK Consumer Sentiments Aug 1 -1 -2
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Jul 3.80% 3.70% 3.70%
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y Jul -5.90% -2.70% -3.00%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Jul 3.30% 3.30% 3.30%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Aug 2.70% 2.70% 2.80%
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Jul 0.50% -0.10% -0.60%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M (JUL P) 0.20% 1.40% -3.30% -3.40%
01:00 NZD NBNZ Business Confidence Aug 24.4 39.7
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Jul -14.10% -10.50% -9.50%
07:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Aug 99.5 97.9 98.1 97.9
09:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Jul 11.50% 11.50% 11.50%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Estimate Y/Y Aug 0.30% 0.30% 0.40%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI - Core Y/Y Aug A 0.90% 0.80% 0.80%
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Jun 0.30% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50%
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Jul -0.30% 0.20% -0.10% 0.10%
12:30 CAD Raw Materials Price Index M/M Jul -1.40% 0.70% 1.10%
12:30 USD Personal Income Jul 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50%
12:30 USD Personal Spending Jul -0.10% 0.20% 0.40%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator M/M Jul 0.10% 0.10% 0.20%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator Y/Y Jul 1.60% 1.60% 1.60%
12:30 USD PCE Core M/M Jul 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
12:30 USD PCE Core Y/Y Jul 1.50% 1.50% 1.50%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI Aug 56.3 52.6
13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Aug F 80.4 79.2
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency traded narrowly today, defensive buy orders are still noted above barrier at 1.3150 with stops building up below there, more buying interest is located at 1.3135, 1.3120 and 1.3100-05 (stops below), fresh demand should emerge around 1.3085, 1.3065 and 1.3050. On the upside, offers remain at 1.3200 and from 1.3220 up to 1.3250 (stops above), more sell orders are tipped at 1.3280-85, 1.3300 and 1.3320 with stops placed above there, selling interest is expected at 1.3350 and 1.3370.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Hold long entered at 1.6600

As cable has retreated after faltering below yesterday's high of 1.6614, suggesting further consolidation would be seen but as long as 1.6567-70 holds, mild upside bias remains for recovery to 1.6620, above there would suggest a temporary low has possibly been formed at 1.6537 earlier this week, bring retracement of recent decline to 1.6650-55 and later towards resistance at 1.6679

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Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Buy at 103.20

Dollar's consolidation after this week's initial rise to 104.28 is expected to continue and although near term downside risk remains for the retreat from said this week's high to bring retracement of recent rise to support at 103.50, reckon renewed buying interest would emerge around 103.20-25, price should stay well above previous resistance at 103.09 and bring another rise later, above said resistance would extend one more rise to 104.40-45

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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Thursday, August 28, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 8-29-14

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Ukraine Tensions Hit Risk Markets, Dollar Mixed in Tight Range

Risk markets were mildly hit by deterioration in Ukraine's situation. S&P 500 closed below 2000 handle by dropping -3.38 pts to 1996.74 while DJIA closed -42.44 pts down at 17079.57. Asian equities are also generally lower with Nikkei down -0.3% at the moment while HK HSI is down -0.25% at the time of writing. The currency markets are rather steady though. Dollar continues to stay in tight range against European majors and yen and maintain bullish outlook. Meanwhile, the greenback is staying mildly bearish against commodity currencies.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2050; (P) 1.2060; (R1) 1.2073; More...

EUR/CHF reaches as low as 1.2048 so far as recent decline continues. Deeper fall could still be seen. But again, we'd continue to expect strong support above 1.20 to contain downside and bring strong rebound. Above 1.2115 will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2177 resistance.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Jul 0.10% 3.50%
23:05 GBP GfK Consumer Sentiments Aug 1 -1 -2
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Jul 3.80% 3.70% 3.70%
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y Jul -5.90% -2.70% -3.00%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Jul 3.30% 3.30% 3.30%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Aug 2.70% 2.70% 2.80%
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Jul 0.50% -0.10% -0.60%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M (JUL P) 0.20% 1.40% -3.30% -3.40%
1:00 NZD NBNZ Business Confidence Aug 24.4 39.7
5:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Jul -14.1% -10.50% -9.50%
7:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Aug 97.9 98.1
9:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Jul 11.50% 11.50%
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Estimate Y/Y Aug 0.30% 0.40%
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI - Core Y/Y Aug A 0.80% 0.80%
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Jun 0.30% 0.40%
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Jul 0.20% -0.10%
12:30 CAD Raw Materials Price Index M/M Jul 0.70% 1.10%
12:30 USD Personal Income Jul 0.30% 0.40%
12:30 USD Personal Spending Jul 0.20% 0.40%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator M/M Jul 0.20%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator Y/Y Jul 1.60%
12:30 USD PCE Core M/M Jul 0.10%
12:30 USD PCE Core Y/Y Jul 1.50%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI Aug 56.3 52.6
13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Aug F 80.4 79.2
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency slipped as the greenback recovered across the board on news that Russian troops entering in Ukraine, the release of better-than-expected US GDP data also helped supporting dollar, bids at 1.3185 were filled but defensive buy orders are still noted above barrier at 1.3150 with stops building up below there, more buying interest is located at 1.3135, 1.3120 and 1.3100-05 (stops below), fresh demand should emerge around 1.3085, 1.3065 and 1.3050. On the upside, offers are lined up from 1.3220 up to 1.3250 (stops above), more sell orders are tipped at 1.3280-85, 1.3300 and 1.3320 with stops placed above there, selling interest is expected at 1.3350 and 1.3370.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.7925

As the single currency has remained under pressure, suggesting near term downside risk remains for the fall from 0.8036 to extend marginal weakness, however, reckon previous support at 0.7916-22 would limit downside and bring recovery later, above 0.8000 would bring a stronger rebound to Friday's high of 0.8016, break there would bring retest of 0.8036 resistance

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Trade Idea Wrap-up: USD/JPY - Buy at 103.20

Although near term downside risk remains for the retreat from this week's high of 104.28 to bring retracement of recent rise to support at 103.50, reckon renewed buying interest would emerge around 103.20-25, price should stay well above previous resistance at 103.09 and bring another rise later, above said resistance would extend one more rise to 104.40-45

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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Action Forex Company Limited | Room 1707, 17/F | Treasure Center | 42 Hung To Road | Kwun Tong | Kowloon | 852 | Hong Kong