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Daily Report: Sterling Firm as the Week Starts, Dollar SoftSterling maintains recent momentum and edges higher broadly as the week starts. BoE deputy governor Bean said he'd welcome the "symbolic step" of rate hike as that would be "an indication that we are on the road back to normality". And, "having interest rates at an emergency level for a very long time is not a situation one wants to be in." Regarding the economy, Bean noted that the central bank was "starting to see better balance" with pickup in investments and optimism from manufacturers. He said there are "plenty of reasons to be cheerful". After BoE governor Carney's talk last week, the majority of economists are expecting the first rate hike by March next year, with some expecting a hike as early as this year end. | |
| Featured Technical Report | |
EUR/GBP Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 0.7966; (P) 0.7986; (R1) 0.8001; More... Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside for the moment. 100% projection of 0.8584 to 0.8157 from 0.8399 at 0.7972 was met already and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Current fall is accelerating an would target 168.1% projection at 0.7708, which is close to key long term support level of 0.7693. On the upside, break of 0.8081 resistance is needed to short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery. |
| Economic Indicators Update |
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| Orders and Options Watch | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency turned around in European session, bids at 1.3550 were filled but buy orders are still noted at 1.3510-20, mixture of bids and stops is located at 1.3500, more buying interest is located at 1.3475 and 1.3450. On the upside, offers in good size are reported at 1.3580-85 and 1.3600-10, selling interest in good size is tipped at 1.3625 and 1.3640-50, more sellers are expected further out at 1.3665-75 and 1.3680-1.3700 area with stops expected above barrier at figure. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forex Trade Ideas | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Hold short entered at 1.0920Although the greenback has recovered after falling to 1.0842 and minor consolidation would be seen, reckon upside would be limited to 1.0890-95 (previous minor support) and bring another decline later, we are keeping our view that the correction from 1.0814 has ended at 1.0960 last week and consolidation with downside bias remains for weakness towards this support. Having said that, only break there would indicate the c leg of wave iv is in progress Trade Idea Wrap-up: EUR/USD - Hold long entered at 1.3537Failure to extend intra-day rebound and current sharp retreat from 1.3579 deferred our near term bullishness and 1.3520 needs to hold to retain prospect of another rebound, above said intra-day resistance would add credence to our view that low is possibly formed at 1.3503 last week, bring a stronger rebound to 1.3600-05, break there would suggest the fall from 1.3677 has ended, then another rise towards said resistance at 1.3677 would follow. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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