Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 5-28-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Investors Optimistic on US, S&P 500 Hit Record High, Dollar Firm

Investors were optimistic on the US economy as they pushed S&P 500 to new record high of 1911.91 overnight. Dollar also strengthened mildly with the dollar index hitting as high as 80.47. Nonetheless, there was no follow through buying in the greenback as the index quickly retreated back to around 80.33 level at the time of writing. In the currency markets, EUR/USD is also holding above 1.3612 temporary low for the moment. Other dollar pairs are also held in range even though the greenback was mildly firmer. Indeed, the greenback continues to lose momentum against the Japanese yen today and is possibly reversing.

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Featured Technical Report

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9236; (P) 0.9256; (R1) 0.9280; More...

AUD/USD is staying in tight range below 4 hours 55 EMA and intraday bias remains neutral. At this point, deeper fall could still be seen as consolidation from 0.9460 continues. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.8659 to 0.9460 at 0.9154 and bring rally resumption. On the upside, above 0.9408 will argue that rise from 0.8659 is finally resuming for 0.9460 and above.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
0:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Apr -0.50% 0.00%
5:45 CHF GDP Q/Q Q1 0.60% 0.20%
6:00 CHF UBS Consumption Indicator Apr 1.84
7:55 EUR German Unemployment Change May -14K -25K
7:55 EUR German Unemployment Rate May 6.70% 6.70%
8:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Y/Y Apr 1.20% 1.10%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Confidence May 102.2 102
9:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence May -4 -3.6
9:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence May F -7.1 -8.6
9:00 EUR Eurozone Services Confidence May 3.5 3.5
9:00 EUR Eurozone Business Climate Indicator May 0.35 0.27
10:00 GBP CBI Reported Sales May 36 30
     
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency slipped on dollar's broad-based strength, bids at 1.3640-45 were filled but buy orders are still seen at 1.3625 and 1.3600-10 (stops below figure), more buying interest is located at 1.3585 and further out at 1.3550-55. On the upside, offers are lowered to 1.3650 and from 1.3670 up to 1.3700, more sell orders are expected at 1.3715 and 1.3730 with stops placed above 1.3735, selling interest is seen at 1.3745-55, 1.3770 and 1.3780-85 (stops above).

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.8050

Although near term sideways trading is likely to continue, recent selloff suggests near term downside risk remains for further weakness to 0.8050-55 but loss of near term downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below there and reckon this minor wave v would be limited to 0.8015-20 and bring rebound later. We are keeping our view that recent decline is unfolding as (a)-(b)-(c)-(x)-(a)-(b)-(c) (with wave (x) ended at 0.8400), the 2nd wave (a) is still in progress

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Trade Idea Wrap-up: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.6840

Despite intra-day brief bounce to 1.6882, current sharp retreat in part due to the release of soft UK data and intra-day breach of 1.6802-04 (previous support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6732-1.6921) suggest rebound from 1.6732 has possibly ended at 1.6921 last week and consolidation with downside bias is seen for further weakness to 1.6780 and then 1.6755-60, however, break of said support at 1.6732 is needed to signal early decline from 1.6996 top has resumed

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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