Saturday, May 17, 2014

Action Insight Weekly Report 5-17-14

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Euro Extended Decline for the Second Week on Policy Expectations

Euro and Swiss Franc remained the weakest major currencies for the second week. Markets continued to pricing additional easing from ECB in June and such expectations were affirmed by officials comments as well as weak economic data. The forex markets were relatively mixed elsewhere though. The Japanese yen attempted to rally last week on risk aversion as stocks pulled back after hitting historical highs. However, the yen's momentum was limited by the late rebound in equities on Friday. Sterling was firstly dragged down by Euro and then additionally pressured by BoE quarterly inflation report which triggered markets to push back rate hike expectations. Canadian dollar was the strongest currency last week but it's held in familiar range against dollar only. Aussie and Kiwi were firm but was overshadowed by the yen.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP break of 0.8157 last week confirmed larger down trend resumption. Also key support level of 0.8156/64 was breached which carries larger bearish implications. As a temporary low was in place at 0.8126, initial bias is neutral this week first. We'd expect upside of consolidation to be limited by 0.8197 to bring fall resumption. Below 0.8126 will target 100% projection of 0.8584 to 0.8157 from 0.8399 at 0.7972. However, break of 0.8197 will indicate that a short term bottom is in place. Also, that could be the first sign that an important bottom is formed after hitting 0.8156/64 cluster support.

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