Monday, May 26, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 5-26-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Euro Soft ahead of ECB Draghi's Speech

Euro remains soft, in particular against Canadian dollar, as markets await ECB president Draghi's speech today. It's widely expected ECB will act in June to overcome low inflation. But, markets are so far kept in the dark on what package tools would ECB uses. Traders will look for clues from Draghi today. So far, there are speculations of interest rate cuts, liquidity injections and even quantitative easing. Meanwhile, the common currency is also reacting mildly negatively on news that the right-wing eurosceptic parties stormed to victory in European Parliament elections in the UK and France.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8085; (P) 0.8094; (R1) 0.8107; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for some consolidations above 0.8081 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.8183 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 0.8081 will extend the larger fall to 100% projection of 0.8584 to 0.8157 from 0.8399 at 0.7972.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Trade Balance (NZD) Apr 534M 636M 920M 935M
23:50 JPY BoJ Minutes
6:00 EUR GfK German Consumer Sentiment Jun 8.5 8.5 8.5
8:00 EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks
     
Orders and Options Watch

European Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency fell marginally to 1.3615 but continued to find good support there and has recovered in European morning, offers at 1.3830-35 were filled but sell orders are still noted at 1.3650 and 1.3680-85, more sell orders are expected at 1.3700-10 and 1.3730 with stops placed above 1.3735, selling interest is seen at 1.3745-55, 1.3770 and 1.3780-85 (stops above). On the downside, demand remains at 1.3600-15 with more stops expected below figure, some buy orders are located at 1.3585 and further out at 1.3550-55. Option expires today include: 1.3600, 1.3620 (large) and 1.3650.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: GBP/USD - Buy at 1.6805

Although the British pound retreated after rising to 1.6921 last week and near term downside risk is seen for this fall to bring retracement of the rise from 1.6732, reckon support at 1.6802 would limit downside and bring another rebound later, above the Ichimoku cloud (now at 1.7874-78) would signal low is formed and bring another rise towards said resistance at 1.6921. Looking ahead, only above there would signal the rise from 1.6732 is still in progress and extend gain to 1.6938, then 1.6950

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Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Buy at 101.30

Last week's rally from 100.82 signals recent fall has ended there and consolidation within early established range would be seen with mild upside bias for gain to resistance at 102.12, however, reckon previous resistance at 102.36 should limit upside and price should falter below 102.50-60, risk from there is seen for another retreat later.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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