Monday, September 22, 2014

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 9-22-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Markets Consolidate in Quiet Trading

The forex markets are rather quite today and no inspiration was provided by the light economic calendar. Eurozone consumer confidence deteriorated to -11 in September. US existing home sales dropped to 5.05m annualized rate in August. Both triggered no reactions from the markets. After the roller coaster rides last week, markets would probably have much lower volatility this week. Nonetheless, the Aussie is the clear loser as the week starts and could face some more pressure from China economic data ahead.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2797; (P) 1.2862 (R1) 1.2896; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current decline from 1.3993 will target 1.2755 key support level. Decisive break there will target 1.2042 low next. On the upside, break of 1.2994 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound before staging another fall.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
14:00 USD US Existing Home sales Aug 5.05M 5.20M 5.15M
14:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Sep A -11 -10.5 -10
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency traded narrowly and offers are still noted at 1.2875-85, 1.2900 and 1.2925-30, more sell orders are reported at 1.2950, 1.2975-85 and 1.3000, selling interest is tipped further out at 1.3025-35 (stops above), 1.3050-60, 1.3085 and 1.3100-10. On the downside, bids at 1.2850 were filled but buy orders are still seen at 1.2825-35, 1.2800 and 1.2785, fresh demand should emerge around 1.2750, 1.2725 and 1.2700.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy at 139.15

Although the single currency surged to as high as 141.23, the subsequent sharp retreat suggests consolidation below there would be seen and retracement to 139.50-55 is likely, however, reckon 139.15-20 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement o 135.82-141.23) would limit downside and bring another rise later. Above 140.70 would bring another test of said resistance at 141.23 but break there is needed to signal recent upmove has resumed for headway to 141.90-00

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Buy at 0.8900

As aussie has continued to head south after recent selloff, suggesting near term downside risk remains for the decline from 0.9505 to extend marginal weakness, however, loss of downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below 0.8850-55 (61.8% projection of 0.9402-0.8984 measuring from 0.9112) and bring rebound later to 0.9000-05 and possibly towards 0.9050 but break of resistance at 0.9112 is needed to provide confirmation

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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