Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 9-16-14

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Markets Stay in Consolidation Mode in General

Dollar stays in tight range against other major currencies in early US session except that some weakness is seen against Loonie. FOMC will start the two day policy meeting today and markets are eager to see if Fed will change the language in the statement to reflect that rate hike is nearing. Released from US, PPI rose to 1.8% yoy in August as expected while core CPPI rose to 1.8% Yoy versus expectation of 1.7% yoy. Canadian manufacturing shipments rose 2.5% mom in July versus expectation of 1.1% mom.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9323; (P) 0.9348; (R1) 0.9375; More....

USD/CHF's consolidation from 0.9395 temporary top is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper retreat could be seen but downside should be contained well above 0.9175 support. Larger rally is expected to resume later. Break of 161.8% projection of 0.8702 to 0.9036 from 0.8855 at 0.9395 will target 261.8% projection at 0.9729 next.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
01:30 AUD RBA Minutes
08:30 GBP CPI M/M Aug 0.40% 0.40% -0.30%
08:30 GBP CPI Y/Y Aug 1.50% 1.60% 1.60%
08:30 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Aug 1.90% 1.80% 1.80%
08:30 GBP RPI M/M Aug 0.40% 0.50% -0.10%
08:30 GBP RPI Y/Y Aug 2.40% 2.50% 2.50%
08:30 GBP PPI Input M/M Aug -0.60% -0.20% -1.60% -1.70%
08:30 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Aug -7.20% -6.60% -7.30% -7.50%
08:30 GBP PPI Output M/M Aug -0.10% -0.10% -0.10%
08:30 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Aug -0.30% -0.20% -0.10%
08:30 GBP PPI Output Core M/M Aug 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% -0.10%
08:30 GBP PPI Output Core Y/Y Aug 0.90% 0.90% 0.90%
09:00 EUR German ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Sep 6.9 5.6 8.6
09:00 EUR German ZEW (Current Situation) Sep 25.4 42 44.3
09:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Sep 14.2 21.3 23.7
12:30 CAD Manufacturing Shipments M/M Jul 2.50% 1.10% 0.60% 0.90%
12:30 USD PPI M/M Aug 0.00% 0.10% 0.10%
12:30 USD PPI Y/Y Aug 1.80% 1.80% 1.70%
12:30 USD PPI Core M/M Aug 0.10% 0.10% 0.20%
12:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Aug 1.80% 1.70% 1.60%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency remained confined in narrow range, offers at 1.2960 were filled but sell orders are still seen at 1.2975-85 and 1.3000, more offers are noted at 1.3025 (stops above), 1.3035 and 1.3050-60, selling interest is expected at 1.3085, 1.3100-10 and 1.3035. On the downside, bids remain at 1.2920-25 and 1.2900-10, buy orders are still seen at 1.2885-95 and 1.2850-60 (stops below), buying interest is tipped at 1.2825, 1.2800 and 1.2785, fresh demand is expected at 1.2750 and 1.2725, mixture of bids and stops is located at 1.2700.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD - Sell at 1.3010

As the single currency has rebounded after intra-day retreat to 1.2922, retaining our view that consolidation would be seen and another corrective rise to resistance at 1.2979-88 would be seen, however, still reckon 1.3000-10 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3160-1.2859) would limit upside and bring another decline. Below 1.2922 would bring a test of 1.2909 but only break of 1.2880-85 would signal the rebound from 1.2859 has ended at 1.2979 and bring retest of this level

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Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Buy at 106.65

As the greenback has continued to trade with a firm undertone, adding credence to our view that recent upmove is still in progress and may extend further gain to 107.50-55, however, weakening of near term upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond 107.70-75 and reckon 108.00-10 would hold from here, risk from there is seen for a retreat to take place later.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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