Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 10-1-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Yen Breached 110 after Mixed Tankan, Aussie Lower on Retail Sales

Yen weakens against the broadly strong dollar with USD/JPY breaching 110 handle. The Tankan survey overall showed mixed sentiments in Q3 and provided little support to the yen. The large manufacturing index improved from 12 to 13 versus expectation of 10. However, medium and small manufacturing indices both deteriorated to 5 and -1 respectively. Large non-manufacturing index dropped from 19 to 13 versus expectation of 17. Medium and small non-manufacturing indices also deteriorated to 7 and 0 respectively. Large, medium and small all industries indices dropped to 13, 6 and 0 respectively. Nikkei is little changed after the release and fluctuated between small gain and loss in the Asian session.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8705; (P) 0.8735; (R1) 0.8778; More...

AUD/USD drops further to as low as 0.8663 so far today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Decisive break of 0.8659 low will confirm resumption of the medium term decline from 1.1079. In that case, AUD/USD would target next long term fibonacci level at 0.8544. On the upside, break of 0.8766 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited by 0.8983 resistance and bring another fall.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturers Index Q3 13 10 12
23:50 JPY Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index Q3 13 17 19
1:00 CNY Manufacturing PMI Sep 51.1 51 51.1
1:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Aug 0.10% 0.40% 0.40%
7:30 CHF SVME PMI Sep 52 52.9
7:45 EUR Italy Manufacturing PMI Sep 49.5 49.8
8:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Sep F 50.5 50.5
8:30 GBP PMI Manufacturing Sep 52.6 52.5
12:15 USD ADP Employment Change Sep 204K 204K
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Sep 58.5 59
14:00 USD ISM Prices Paid Sep 57 58
14:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Aug 0.40% 1.80%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -4.3M
 
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency dropped to 2-year low on soft Eurozone inflation data, bids at 1.2660-65, 1.2650, 1.2620-25 and 1.2600 were tripped, however, some buy orders are reported at 1.2570 and in good size at 1.2540-50 (more stops below). On the upside, offers are lowered to 1.2640-50 and 1.2670, sizeable sell orders remain at 1.2700-10, 1.2725-35 and 1.2750-60 (stops above 1.2765), selling interest is expected at 1.2785 and 1.2800.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Sell at 0.7885

Although the single currency has remained under pressure and near term downside risk remains for recent decline to extend to 0.7750, however, oversold condition should limit this wave v to 0.7725-30 and reckon 0.7700 would hold from here, risk from there is seen for a rebound to take place later.

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Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.1095

As the greenback has risen again after brief pullback, adding credence to our bullish view that recent upmove is still in progress and may extend further gain to 1.1220-30, then retest of previous resistance at 1.1279, however, break of latter level is needed to retain bullishness and confirm early upmove has resumed for headway to 1.1300-10 first.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

 

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