Friday, September 19, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 9-19-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Sterling Soars and Scotland Rejected Independence

Sterling soared as along with the Scottish independence referendum and maintained gain as the "no" camp won. It's reported that 55% of voters rejected independence while 45% supported. Now that the risk is behind, BoE is seen to be back on track, and "business as usual" as some described. The central bank is seen to hike rate next year as recovery gather momentum. GBP/USD reaches as high as 1.6523 so far today comparing to this month's low of 1.6051.EUR/GBP powered through 0.7873 support and reaches as low as 0.7809 so far. Overall, the pound is seen strongest against yen this week, with GBP/JPY jumping nearly 500 pts and breached 180 handle.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 176.72; (P) 177.54; (R1) 178.94; More.....

GBP/JPY rises to as high as 180.70 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside. The medium term up trend is still in progress and should target next long term fibonacci level at 183.96. On the downside, below 178.47 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat. But downside should be contained above 175.36 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
4:30 JPY All Industry Activity Index M/M Jul -0.20% 0.40% -0.40%
6:00 EUR German PPI M/M Aug -0.10% -0.10% -0.10%
6:00 EUR German PPI Y/Y Aug -0.80% -0.80% -0.80%
8:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account (EUR) Jul 14.3B 13.1B
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Aug -0.10% -0.20%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Aug 2.10%
12:30 CAD BoC CPI Core M/M Aug 0.20% -0.10%
12:30 CAD BoC CPI Core Y/Y Aug 1.70%
12:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Jul 0.80% 0.60%
14:00 USD Leading Indicators Aug 0.40% 0.90%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

JPY: Dollar rose briefly to 108.96 but has retreated after faltering below 109.00 level, offers are still noted at 108.95-00, 109.15-25 and 109.40-50. On the downside, bids remain at 108.50, 108.25-35 and 108.00, more buy orders are located at 107.85, 107.50 and 107.25-35, mixture of bids and stops is tipped at 107.00.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Wrap-up: USD/JPY - Buy at 108.00

As the greenback has eased after intra-day brief rise to 108.96, suggesting minor consolidation below there would be seen and pullback to the Kijun-Sen (now at 108.13) cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 107.90-00 would limit downside and bring another rise later, above 109.00 would extend gain to 109.15-20 (61.8% projection of 103.56-107.39 measuring from 106.81), however, near term overbought condition should prevent sharp move beyond 109.50

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Trade Idea Wrap-up: USD/CHF - Sell at 0.9390

Although the greenback resumed recent rise to 0.9433, lack of follow through buying and the subsequent strong retreat suggest a temporary is possibly formed there and consolidation with downside bias is seen for test of support at 0.9300, however, break of previous support at 0.9287 is needed to add credence to this view, bring retracement of recent upmove towards 0.9245-50 later.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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