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Thursday, September 11, 2014

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 9-11-14

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Dollar Firm against Commodity Currencies and Yen

Dollar remains firm against commodity currencies and yen in early US session but continues to consolidate against European majors. Initial jobless claims rose more than expected to 315k in the week ended September 6. That compared to consensus of 306k and prior week's 304k. Continuing claims rose 9k to 2.49m in the week ended August 30. Economists are not concerned with the rise in claims as the current level of around 300k is seen as tight. Released from Canada, new housing price index was flat in July.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 106.30; (P) 106.59; (R1) 107.15; More...

USD/JPY's rally continues today and reaches as high as 107.15 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside and current rally from 101.08 should target 100% projection of 96.56 to 105.43 from 101.08 at 109.95 next. On the downside, below 106.03 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained well above 104.27 support and bring another rally.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
21:00 NZD RBNZ Rate Decision 3.50% 3.50% 3.50%
23:01 GBP RICS House Price Balance Aug 40% 47% 49%
23:50 JPY BSI Large All Industry Q/Q Q3 12.7 -10.3 -14.6
01:30 CNY PPI Y/Y Aug -1.20% -1.10% -0.90%
01:30 CNY CPI Y/Y Aug 2.00% 2.20% 2.30%
01:30 AUD Employment Change Aug 121.0K 15.0K -0.3K -4.1K
01:30 AUD Unemployment Rate Aug 6.10% 6.30% 6.40%
06:00 EUR German CPI M/M Aug F 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
06:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Aug F 0.80% 0.80% 0.80%
08:00 EUR ECB Monthly Bulletin
12:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M Jul 0.00% 0.20% 0.20%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (SEP 6) 315K 306K 302K 304K
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 92B 84B 79B
18:00 USD Monthly Budget Statement Aug -132.8B -94.6B
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency edged higher in European session but sell orders are still noted at 1.2950-60, 1.2975-85 and 1.3000, selling interest is tipped further out at 1.3035 and 1.3050-60. On the downside, bids are raised to 1.2910, 1.2885-95 and 1.2840-60 area (stops below), buying interest is tipped at 1.2825, 1.2800 (stops below) and 1.2785, fresh demand should emerge at 1.2750 and 1.2725, mixture of bids and stops is located at 1.2700.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF - Buy at 0.9290

Although dollar retreated after rising to 0.9396 and consolidation below this level would be seen, reckon downside would be limited to support at 0.9315 and previous support at 0.9287 should contain weakness, bring another rally, above said resistance would extend recent upmove for further gain to 0.9417

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Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.6280

As cable has rebounded after yesterday's marginal fall to 1.6052, retaining our view that consolidation above this level would be seen and recovery to 1.6250 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 1.6279-83 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6644-1.6052 and previous support) would limit upside and bring another decline later. A break of the lower Kumo (now at 1.6114) would bring a retest of yesterday's low at 1.6052, break there would extend recent decline to 1.6040-45

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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