Wednesday, January 1, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 1-2-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Sterling Rallies as 2014 Starts, Manufacturing Data Watched

DOW had a strong close last year making new record high at 16575.55 while S&P 500 also closed at record 1848.36. Meanwhile, it should also be noted that treasury yields in US also made a strong close with 10 year yield at 3.026% and 30 year yield at 3.964% both new highs. But positive sentiments didn't follow through to Asian session today. Major indices are mildly pressured following disappointment from China's manufacturing data. Japan and China are still on holiday. In the currency markets, Sterling is leading the way in rally against dollar, comparing with other major currencies. GBP/USD extends recent rally and reaches as high as 1.6591 so far. EUR/GBP also dips further to as low as 0.8285, extending recent decline fro 0.8446. Some more volatility could be seen in the pound with PMI manufacturing featured in UK today.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 173.26; (P) 173.88; (R1) 174.96; More.....

GBP/JPY's rally continues today and reaches as high as 174.84 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rise should extend to 161.8% projection of 147.61 to 159.98 from 156.63 at 176.64 next. On the downside, below 172.81 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But retreat should be contained above 170.05 resistance turned support and bring another rally.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
08:45 EUR Italian PMI Manufacturing Dec 51.7 51.4
09:00 EUR Eurozone PMI Manufacturing Dec F 52.7 52.7
09:30 GBP PMI Manufacturing Dec 58.2 58.4
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (DEC 28) 338K
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Dec 56.9 57.3
15:00 USD ISM Prices Paid Dec 52.8 52.5
15:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Nov 0.60% 0.80%
Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Sell on break of 1.3725

Despite last week's rally to 1.3894, the subsequent sharp retreat suggest a temporary top is possibly formed and consolidation would be seen, however, break of support at 1.3728 is needed to add credence to this view and extend the fall from 1.3894 to 1.3700, then previous support at 1.3655 but only break of another support at 1.3625 would provide final confirmation

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Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Buy at 105.00

Although the greenback has risen again after finding renewed buying interest at 104.86 earlier this week, break of resistance at 105.41 is needed to confirm recent upmove has resumed and extend gain to 105.68 (50% projection of 103.77-105.41 measuring from 104.86), then 105.87 (61.8% projection) but reckon near term overbought condition would limit upside to 106.00 and price should falter well below 106.40-50. 

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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