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Mid-Day Report: Sterling Jumps on Strong PMI Points to Solid Q2 GrowthSterling strengthens against dollar today and reaches as high as 1.7153 so far, extending recent rally. GBP/JPY also took out 174.09 near term resistance to resume the larger rise. EUR/GBP dips following broad based rally in the pound but at this momentum, it's holding above near term support of 0.7958. UK PMI manufacturing unexpectedly rose to 57.5 in June versus consensus of a fall to 56.7. That's the second highest level in over three years. Markit noted that "UK manufacturing continued to flourish in June, rounding off one of the best quarters for the sector over the past two decades." And, manufacturing is expected to expand in Q2, at a stronger pace then Q1's 1.5%. Elsewhere in Europe, Eurozone manufacturing PMI was revised slightly lower to 51.8 in June, unemployment rate was unchanged at 11.6% in May. German unemployment rose 9k in June while unemployment rate was unchanged at 6.7%. Swiss SVME PMI improved to 54.0 in June versus expectation of 52.6. | |
| Featured Technical Report | |
GBP/USD Mid-Day OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.7037; (P) 1.7076; (R1) 1.7143; More... GBP/USD's rally accelerates today and reaches as high as 1.7153 so far. The larger rally from 1.4813 is still in progress. Intraday bias remains on the upside for next key long term fibonacci level at 1.7332. . We'd expect loss of momentum as it approaches this level and reverse from there. On the downside, below 1.7095 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.6952 support holds. |
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US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency continued to move higher and mixture of offers and stops at 1.3670-75 (stops above) is in focus, however, sell orders are still noted at 1.3690-00, sizeable selling interest is expected at 1.3690-00 with more stops tipped above 1.3705, sellers are waiting further out at 1.3725-30 and 1.3750-60. On the downside, bids remain at 1.3640 and 1.3600-10, good size buy orders remain at 1.3570-75 and 1.3545-50, more buying interest is located at 1.3520-30, followed by mixture of bids and stops at 1.3500-10. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF - Sell at 0.8895Yesterday's selloff after breaking below previous support at 0.8908 (now turned into resistance) suggests recent decline from 0.9037 top is still in progress (after a tentatively big round top formation) and further weakness to 0.8830-35 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.8703-0.9037) would be seen, however, reckon 0.8805-10 (1.618 times projection of 0.9037-0.8908 measuring from 0.9013 and 1.618 times projection of 0.9013-0.8911 measuring from 0.8975) would limit downside Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD - Buy at 1.3650Yesterday's rally above resistance at 1.3677 adds credence to our view that the erratic rise from 1.3503 low is still in progress for retracement of early selloff from 1.3993, hence further gain to resistance at 1.3734 and possibly 1.3748-50 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3993-1.3503) would be seen, however, near term overbought condition should prevent sharp move beyond 1.3775 resistance and bring retreat later. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Fundamental Highlights
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