Saturday, July 19, 2014

Action Insight Weekly Report 7-19-14

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Dollar Advanced While Markets Jittered on Geopolitical Tensions

The financial markets jittered on geopolitical worries in both Ukraine and Israel last week but the impact quickly faded. Looking beyond the volatilities, there were a few developments to note. Stocks extended the bull run with DOW hitting new record high of 17151.56. Despite a steep retreat, the index recovered strongly to close the week at 17100.18. S&P 500 also managed to defend recent range to close at 1978.22, maintaining near term bullishness. Dollar index also extended recent rebound and reached as high as 80.68 before closing at 80.50. In the currency markets, Euro and Swiss Franc dropped sharply over the weak and the sell off also dragged down Sterling. Nonetheless, they were overshadowed by Kiwi, which reversed from a long term resistance after inflation data missed expectations. On the other hand, Australian dollar was firm as supported by data from China. Canadian dollar's decline paused after BoC. Yen attempted for a rally on risk aversion but couldn't push through key resistance level against the greenback.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD's break of 1.3502 support confirmed resumption of fall from 1.3993. Deeper decline is expected this week for 1.3476 key support level first. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication and would target 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.3502 from 1.3700 at 1.3397. However, it should noted that the pair is close to 1.33476 key support as well as the long term trend line. Rebound from current level and break of 1.3575 could indicate near term reversal and will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3700 resistance instead.

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The Week in Review and Outlook

 

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