Monday, July 14, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 7-15-14

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Daily Report: Yen Steady as BoJ on Hold

The Japanese yen is basically steady after BoJ left monetary policies unchanged as widely expected. Interest rate was held near zero and the annual target of monetary base expansion was kept at JPY 60-70T. The central bank lowered the growth forecast for the current fiscal year to next March slightly to 1.0%, down from prior forecast of 1.12%. The growth projections for 2015 and 2016 fiscal year were held unchanged at 1.5% and 1.3% respectively. Price forecasts were also left unchanged. Core CPI, after tax adjustment, was projected to be 1.3% in the current fiscal year. BoJ saw inflation to be at 1.9% in fiscal 2015-16 and 2.1% in fiscal 2016-17. BoJ noted in the statement that the economy is "likely to continue recovering moderately as a trend".

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.91; (P) 138.18; (R1) 138.53; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment but with 138.75 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is still expected. As noted before, the cross in in the third leg of the pattern from 145.68. Below 137.49 will target 136.22 support next. On the upside, above 138.75 will turn focus back to 139.27 resistance and break will indicates near term reversal.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Statement
23:01 GBP BRC Sales Monitor Y/Y Jun -0.80% 0.50%
1:30 AUD RBA Minutes
7:15 CHF Producer & Import Prices M/M Jun 0.10% 0.10%
7:15 CHF Producer & Import Prices Y/Y Jun -0.80% -0.80%
8:30 GBP CPI M/M Jun -0.10% -0.10%
8:30 GBP CPI Y/Y Jun 1.60% 1.50%
8:30 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Jun 1.70% 1.60%
8:30 GBP RPI M/M Jun -0.10% 0.10%
8:30 GBP RPI Y/Y Jun 2.40% 2.40%
8:30 GBP PPI Input M/M Jun 0.00% -0.90%
8:30 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Jun -4.50% -5.00%
8:30 GBP PPI Output M/M Jun 0.10% -0.10%
8:30 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Jun 0.50%
8:30 GBP PPI Output Core M/M Jun 0.00% 0.00%
8:30 GBP PPI Output Core Y/Y Jun 1.00% 1.00%
8:30 GBP DCLG UK House Prices Y/Y May 10.20% 9.90%
9:00 EUR German ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Jul 30 29.8
9:00 EUR German ZEW (Current Situation) Jul 67.5 67.7
9:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Jul 62.3 58.4
12:30 USD Advance Retail Sales Jun 0.60% 0.30%
12:30 USD Retail Sales Less Autos Jun 0.60% 0.10%
12:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Jul 17.2 19.3
12:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Jun 0.30% 0.10%
14:00 USD Business Inventories May 0.60% 0.60%
     
Forex Trade Ideas

Remark: Due to holiday next week, next Candlestick and Ichimoku Trade Idea update will be made on 21 July (Monday).

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

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