Tuesday, July 15, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 7-16-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Dollar Jumped on Fed Yellen's Comment, Kiwi Tumbled on CPI

Dollar strengthened against most major currencies except the resilient Sterling overnight after Fed chair Yellen's speech. Yellen testified before Senate Banking Committee and noted that interest rate hike could come sooner if labor markets continue to surprise on the upside. She said that "if the labor market continues to improve more quickly than anticipated by the Federal Open Market Committee, resulting in faster convergence toward our dual objectives, then increases in the federal funds rate target likely would occur sooner and be more rapid than currently envisioned." Nonetheless, she still mentioned that "if economic performance is disappointing, then the future path of interest rates likely would be more accommodative than currently anticipated." Regarding the economy, she said that "recovery is not yet complete" and there was still "significant slack" in the labor markets.

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Featured Technical Report

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9346; (P) 0.9373; (R1) 0.9399; More...

AUD/USD drops sharply today but is staying above 0.9382 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral first and outlook is unchanged. The corrective trading from 0.9504 is expected to extend in near term with risk of another decline. Below 0.9328 will turn bias to the downside for 0.9211 support and below. In that case, we'd expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.8659 to 0.9504 at 0.9181 and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9504 is needed to confirm rally resumption or we won't turn bullish in case of strong rebound.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD CPI Q/Q Q2 0.30% 0.40% 0.30%
22:45 NZD CPI Y/Y Q2 1.60% 1.80% 1.50%
0:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Jun 0.10% 0.10%
2:00 CNY GDP YTD Y/Y Q2 7.50% 7.40% 7.40%
2:00 CNY Fixed Assets Ex Rural YTD Y/Y Jun 17.30% 17.20% 17.20%
2:00 CNY Retail Sales Y/Y Jun 12.40% 12.50% 12.50%
2:00 CNY Industrial Production Y/Y Jun 9.20% 9.00% 8.80%
8:30 GBP Jobless Claims Change Jun -27.1K -27.4K
8:30 GBP Claimant Count Rate Jun 3.20%
8:30 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) May 6.50% 6.60%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) May 16.3B 15.8B
9:00 CHF ZEW (Expectations) Jul 4.8
12:30 CAD Manufacturing Shipments M/M May 1.30% -0.10%
12:30 USD PPI M/M Jun 0.20% -0.20%
12:30 USD PPI Y/Y Jun 1.80% 2.00%
12:30 USD PPI Core M/M Jun 0.20% -0.10%
12:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Jun 1.60% 2.00%
13:00 USD Net Long-term TIC Flows May 27.4B -$24.2B
13:15 USD Industrial Production Jun 0.30% 0.60%
14:00 CAD BoC Rate Decision 1.00% 1.00%
14:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Jul 50 49
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.4M
18:00 USD Fed's Beige Book
     
Forex Trade Ideas

Remark: Due to holiday next week, next Candlestick and Ichimoku Trade Idea update will be made on 21 July (Monday).

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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