Sunday, February 2, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 2-3-14

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Daily Report: Quiet Market in Asia, Important Week Ahead

Trading is rather subdued in Asia as some markets are still on lunar new year holiday. At the time of writing, Nikkei is losing another -200 pts, or -1.4% and is pressing 14700 level. The Nikkei also hit a 2.5 year low as recent selloff on emerging market woes continues. While the yen is firm, there is no renewed buying in the Japanese currency yet as it's stuck in tight range against other major currencies. Euro remains soft below 1.35 against dollar as traders await PMI data from Eurozone later today. And more importantly, ECB will meet again this week. Australian dollar is also mildly lower on disappointing China manufacturing as well as it's own Housing data.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5317; (P) 1.5453; (R1) 1.5546; More.....

The correction from 1.5831 is still in progress and deeper fall could be seen. But again, with 1.5236 support intact, near term outlook stays bullish and another rise is still in favor. Above 1.5673 minor resistance will target 1.5831 and above. However, note that bearish divergence condition is seen in daily MACD. In case of another rise, strong resistance might be seen at 61.8% projection of 1.4050 to 1.5596 from 1.5029 at 1.5984 to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, break of 1.5236 will indicate that a short term top is at least formed and would bring deeper decline to 1.5029 and below.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Trade Balance (NZD) Dec 523M 500M 183M
23:15 JPY Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing PMI Jan 55.6 55.2
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y Dec 0.70% 1.30% 0.20%
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Dec 3.70% 3.90% 4.00%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Dec 1.30% 1.20% 1.20%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Jan 0.70% 0.70% 0.70%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Dec P 1.10% 1.50% -0.10%
00:05 GBP GfK Consumer Sentiment Jan -7 -10 -13
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Dec 18.00% 13.90% 14.10%
09:00 EUR Italian Unemployment Rate Dec P 12.70% 12.70% 12.70% 12.80%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Dec 12.00% 12.10% 12.10% 12.00%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Estimate Y/Y Jan 0.70% 0.80% 0.80%
13:30 CAD GDP M/M Nov 0.20% 0.20% 0.30%
13:30 USD Employment Cost Index Q4 0.50% 0.40% 0.40%
13:30 USD Personal Income Dec 0.00% 0.20% 0.20%
13:30 USD Personal Spending Dec 0.40% 0.30% 0.50%
13:30 USD PCE Core M/M Dec 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
13:30 USD PCE Core Y/Y Dec 1.20% 1.10%
14:45 USD Chicago PMI Jan 58 59.1
14:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Jan F 81 80.4
 
Forex Trade Ideas

Due to Chinese New Year holidays, next Candlestick and Ichimoku Trade Idea update will be made on Monday 3rd Feb 2014

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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