Saturday, February 1, 2014

Action Insight Weekly Report 2-1-14

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Fed Tapering and Emerging Market Turmoils Dominated, Yen and Dollar Strengthened

The turmoils in emerging markets and Fed's tapering remained the main theme in the financial markets last week. The intra-week recovery in stocks was brief as DOW extended recent fall to close at 15689.85. And important near term support level at 15703.79 was broken which suggests more weakness ahead. S&P 500 was relatively steady as it turned sideway after initial fall to1770.45 and held on to corresponding support level at 1767.99. Treasuries yields extended recent fall on safe have flows with 30 year yield closing at 3.622 while 10 year yield closed at 2.668. On the other hand, dollar index rebounded strongly to close at 81.31 and is seen heading back to key near term resistance level of 81.48.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD rose further to 1.1223 last week but faced some resistance mention medium term fibonacci level at 1.1235 and retreated. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD argues that the pair might be topping in near term. Break of 1.1031 will confirm this case and bring deeper pull back to 55 days EMA (now at 1.0784). For now, sustained break of 1.1235 is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, outlook will be neutral and we'd anticipate a correction sooner or later.

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