Sunday, February 9, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 2-10-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Yen Soft as Risk Rebound Continues

Asian equities are generally higher today following the extended rebound in US last Friday. Nikkei is trading up nearly 250 pts, or 17% at the time of writing. Yen crosses are firm as recoveries continue while dollar remains soft against European majors. The economic data is rather light today and traders would look through today's data towards the major events this week. That firstly include the new Fed chairman Yellen's inaugural testimonies before the House Financial Services Committee tomorrow and the Senate Banking Committee on Thursday. it's not likely for Yellen to bring new insights on the central bank's policy changes. Yet, she would probably discuss options the FOMC might use regarding the forward guidance, such as lowering the threshold on the unemployment rate and adding an inflation floor. Moreover, last week's employment report should not do much to change the Fed economic assessment as January's data should indeed be derailed by extreme weather during the month.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 166.66; (P) 167.34; (R1) 168.56; More.....

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the upside for the moment as rebound form 163.87 continues. Current development argues that pull back from 174.84 might be finished at 163.87 already. Further rally could be seen to 173.65/174.84 resistance zone. Meanwhile, break of 166.11 minor support revive the bearish outlook and turn bias back to the downside for 163.87 and then 159.98 key support.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Dec -0.20T -0.06T -0.05T
5:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Jan 40.5 43.9 41.3
6:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current Jan 54.7 55.5 55.7
6:45 CHF Unemployment Rate Jan 3.20% 3.20%
9:30 EUR Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Feb 10.1 11.9
13:15 CAD Housing Starts Jan 185.0K 189.7K
 
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency jumped in NY opening shortly after the release of lower-than-expected NFP data, however, offers in good size are still noted at 1.3645-50 and 1.3670-80, buy stops are building up above 1.3700. On the downside, bids in good size remain at 1.3550, 1.3535 and 1.3515, more buy orders are tipped at 1.3490-00 and 1.3475 with stops building up below 1.3450-60, fresh demand should emerge around 1.3420-30, 1.3400 and further out at 1.3350-60.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.8240

As the single currency has retreated after rising to 0.8350 yesterday, minor consolidation would bee seen and pullback to 0.8265-70 cannot be ruled out, however, if our view that a temporary low possibly formed at 0.8168 is correct, downside should be limited to 0.8240-50 and bring another rise later. A break of said resistance at 0.8350 would extend the rebound from 0.8168 temporary low for retracement of recent decline towards next resistance at 0.8393 later

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Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Sell at 1.1100

As the greenback slipped again after brief recovery, adding credence to our view that a temporary top is possibly formed at 1.1224 last week and consolidation with downside bias remains for retracement of recent upmove to support at 1.0950-55 but a drop below there is needed to signal the wave v has ended at 1.1224, bring correction of entire rise to 1.0900-05 but reckon support at 1.0843 would hold from here.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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