Monday, February 10, 2014

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-10-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Markets Quiet Before Fed Yellen's Testimony Tomorrow

Markets are lacking a clear direction as another week starts. European equities edged higher in early trading, carrying over the positive sentiments from Asia. But major indices quickly pared back the gains and are mixed at the time of writing. US futures also point to a lower open. Yen Crosses are generally lower, tracking equities, but losses are so far very limited. European majors are also mixed with Euro and Swissy mildly higher against dollar but sterling lagged behind. Markets will likely stay directionless for today as key events start tomorrow with new Fed chairman Yellen's testimony on Tuesday and Thursday, plus BoE inflation report and Carney's press conference on Wednesday.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3577; (P) 1.3610 (R1) 1.3669; More....

The recovery from 1.3476 might extends higher. But EUR/USD is staying inside near term falling channel and well below 1.3739 resistance. Near term outlook stays mildly bearish and deeper decline is still expected to 38.2% retracement of 1.2755 to 1.3892 at 1.3458. Break will target 50% retracement at 1.3324. Nonetheless, break of 1.3739 resistance will indicate that the choppy fall from 1.3892 has already finished and will turn near term outlook bullish for another high above 1.3892 to extend the larger rally.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Dec -0.20T -0.06T -0.05T
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Jan 40.5 43.9 41.3
06:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current Jan 54.7 55.5 55.7
06:45 CHF Unemployment Rate Jan 3.20% 3.20% 3.20%
09:30 EUR Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Feb 13.3 10.1 11.9
13:15 CAD Housing Starts Jan 180K 185.0K 189.7K 188K
 
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency edged higher in European morning but sell orders are still noted at 1.3675-85, buy stops are building up above 1.3700, fresh selling interest should emerge around 1.3620-30 and 1.3650 (stops above). On the downside, bids are raised to 1.3600-10, 1.3550 and 1.3535, more buy orders in good size are tipped at 1.3515, 1.3490-00 and 1.3475, mixture of bids and stops is located at 1.3450-60.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Buy at 1.6350

Friday's strong rebound on dollar's broad-based weakness against European currencies suggests low has been formed at 1.6252 last week and near term bullishness remains for test of 1.6438-40 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6625-1.6252), however, still reckon upside would be limited to 1.6483-85 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6625-1.6252 and previous resistance) and price should falter well below 1.6520-26 resistance, bring another decline later.

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Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Buy at 101.60

As the greenback has retreated after intra-day initial marginal rise to 102.64, suggesting consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to the upper Kumo (now at 101.91) but the lower Kumo (now at 101.52) should hold and bring another rise later, above said resistance would extend the rise from 100.76 low to previous resistance at 102.93, however, overbought condition should limit upside and price should falter well below resistance at 103.44, bring retreat.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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