Thursday, October 16, 2014

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-16-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Euro Tumbles With Peripheral Bonds, Dollar Recovers

Dollar recovered some of this week's losses today and is trying to draw support from better than expected job data. Initial jobless claims dropped 23k to 264k in the week ended October 11 versus expectation of 285k. That's also the lowest level since April 2000. Continuing claims rose 7k to 2.39m in the week ended October 4. Elsewhere, risk aversion continues to dominate the markets. Major European indices are trading in read with FTSE losing -1.6%, DAX down -1.4% and CAC down -1.8% at the time of writing. US futures also point to another day of decline with DJIA probably losing 16000 handle again. Meanwhile, in the currency markets, yen remains the strongest currency this week on risk aversion. Canadian dollar is the weakest following the sharp fall in crude oil, which breaches 80 level today.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2679; (P) 1.2782 (R1) 1.2941; More....

The correction from 1.2500 is still in progress and further rise cannot be ruled out. But at this point, we'd expect strong resistance from 1.2994 to bring fall resumption. Below 1.2624 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Break of 1.2500 will extend the larger fall from 1.3993 for 1.2042 low next. Nonetheless, break of 1.2994 will bring lengthier consolidation above 1.2500 before staging another fall.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
21:30 NZD Business NZ Manufacturing Index Sep 58.1 56.5 57
00:00 AUD Consumer Inflation Expectation Oct 3.40% 3.50%
05:45 CHF SECO Economic Forecasts
09:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Aug 15.8B 13.3B 12.2B 12.7B
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI M/M Sep F 0.40% 0.40% 0.10%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Sep F 0.30% 0.30% 0.30%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI - Core Y/Y Sep F 0.80% 0.70% 0.70%
12:30 CAD Manufacturing Shipments M/M Aug -3.30% -1.80% 2.50% 2.90%
12:30 CAD International Securities Transactions (CAD) Aug 10.28B 4.31B 5.30B 5.20B
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (OCT 11) 264K 285K 287K
13:15 USD Industrial Production Sep 1.0% 0.40% -0.10%
13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Sep 79.3% 79.00% 78.80%
14:00 USD Philly Fed Survey Oct 20 22.5
14:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Oct 59 59
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage
15:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories
20:00 USD Net Long-term TIC Flows Aug -$18.6B
 
Forex Trade Ideas

Remark: Due to holidays, next Trade Ideas update will be made on Monday 20 Oct 2014

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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