Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-14-14

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Dollar Back Under Pressure after Weak Data

Dollar weakens in early US session after release of generally weak economic data. Retail sales dropped -0.3% in September versus expectation of -0.1%. Ex-auto sales dropped -0.2% versus expectation of 0.2% growth. Empire state manufacturing index dropped sharply to 6.17 in October versus expectation of 20.0. PPI slowed to 1.6%yoy in September versus expectation of 1.8% yoy. Core PPI dropped to 1.6% yoy versus expectation of 1.7% yoy. The greenback has been under some pressure over the week on concern the global slowdown could delay Fed's first rate hike. Markets are pricing in less than 50% for Fed's first rate hike by September 2015, down from nearly 75% at the beginning of the month.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 106.70; (P) 107.00; (R1) 107.34; More...

USD/JPY drops further to as low as 106.20 today so far, breaking 38.2% retracement of 101.08 to 110.08 at 106.64. The development suggests that deeper pull back is underway and intraday bias remains on the downside for 61.8% retracement at 104.51. On the upside, above 107.49 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But we'd expect more corrective trading below 110.08 in near term.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Oct 0.90% -4.60%
01:30 CNY CPI Y/Y Sep 1.60% 1.70% 2.00%
01:30 CNY PPI Y/Y Sep -1.80% -1.50% -1.20%
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Aug F -1.90% -1.50% -1.50%
06:00 EUR German CPI M/M Sep F 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
06:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Sep F 0.80% 0.80% 0.80%
08:30 GBP Jobless Claims Change Sep -18.6K -35.0K -37.2K -33.2K
08:30 GBP Claimant Count Rate Sep 2.80% 2.80% 2.90%
08:30 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Aug 6.00% 6.10% 6.20%
09:00 CHF ZEW (Expectations) Oct -30.7 -7.7
12:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Oct 6.17 20 27.54
12:30 USD Advance Retail Sales Sep -0.30% -0.10% 0.60%
12:30 USD Retail Sales Less Autos Sep -0.20% 0.20% 0.30%
12:30 USD PPI M/M Sep -0.10% 0.10% 0.00%
12:30 USD PPI Y/Y Sep 1.60% 1.80% 1.80%
12:30 USD PPI Core M/M Sep 0.00% 0.10% 0.10%
12:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Sep 1.60% 1.70% 1.80%
14:00 USD Business Inventories Aug 0.30% 0.40%
18:00 USD Federal Reserve Beige Book
 
Forex Trade Ideas

Remark: Due to holidays, next Trade Ideas update will be made on Monday 20 Oct 2014

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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