Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 10-8-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Yen Surges with Falling Stocks and Yields

Yen extends it's rally over night and is so far the strongest major currency this week. Risk aversion and steep fall in treasury yields were two factors that drove the yen higher. DOW failed to sustain above 17000 handle and dropped -272.52 pts, or -1.6% overnight to close at 16719.39. S&P 500 dropped -29.72 pts, or -1.51% to close at 1935.1. Development in SPX is worth a note. There was some strong resistance seen from 55 days EMA. The medium term channel is broken. There was bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. These three developments point to trend reversal in the index. Today's focus will be on last week's low of 1926.03, break there will put focus on key structural support level at 1904.78.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.35; (P) 137.05; (R1) 137.56; More...

EUR/JPY's fall from 141.21 is still in progress and is targeting 135.81 support. As noted before, such decline is viewed as the fifth leg of the triangle pattern from 145.68. We'd expect strong support above 135.50 key level to bring reversal. On the upside, above 137.87 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 141.21 resistance.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y Sep -1.80% -1.60%
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Aug 0.13T 0.19T 0.10T
1:45 CNY HSBC China Services PMI Sep 53.5 54.1
5:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current Sep 48.2 47.4
5:45 CHF Unemployment Rate Sep 3.10% 3.20%
12:15 CAD Housing Starts Sep 195K 192.4K
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.4M
18:00 USD FOMC Meeting Minutes
 
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency found renewed buying interest just above 1.2580 and has rebounded in NY morning, however, offers remain at 1.2670-85 area, selling interest is tipped further out at 1.2700-10 (stops above), sell orders are expected at 1.2715-25 and 1.2750. On the downside, bids remain at 1.2570-80 and 1.2540-45, buy orders are reported at 1.2525-30, 1.2500-10 and 1.2485, mixture of bids and stops is located at 1.2450, more buying interest is expected at 1.2420-25 and 1.2400.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.7805

Euro's rebound after finding support at 0.7766 last week suggests further consolidation above this level would be seen and reckon 0.7800-05 would limit downside, bring another bounce to 0.7889 resistance, above there would suggest a temporary low is possibly formed, bring retracement of recent decline to 0.7915, break there would add credence to this view, bring a stronger rebound to 0.7950-55 later.

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Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Stopped profit and stand aside

As the retreat from last week's high of 1.1270 turned out to be stronger than expected, suggesting a temporary top has possibly been formed there and consolidation with mild downside bias is seen for test of 1.1112 support, however, break there is needed to add credence to this view, bring weakness to 1.1072. Once this support (last week's low) is penetrated, this would provide confirmation, bring a stronger correction to 1.1000-10 but downside should be limited to 1.0980-85 today.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

 

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