Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 8-12-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Euro Steady in Range ahead of German ZEW

The financial markets are relatively steady today so far. Asian stocks opened higher today but Nikkei pared back the gains and is trading up around 0.2% at the time of writing. That followed slight gain in DJIA by 0.10% and S&P 500 by 0.28%. In the currency markets, yen extends this week's pull back against other major currencies but against loss is limited. Improvement in sentiments was also seen in the strong recovery in USD/CHF. Fresh selling is seen in Sterling in Asian session today with GBP/USD dipping through last week's low. Meanwhile, Euro is mildly softer against the greenback as markets await German confidence data.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4432; (P) 1.4445; (R1) 1.4462; More...

No change in EUR/AUD's outlook. The rebound from 1.4197 is expected to extend higher to 1.4601 resistance next. Decisive break there will argue that the corrective fall from 1.5813 has completed and will turn near term outlook bullish. Break of 1.4197 will extend the correction but in that case, we'd expect strong support from 1.4050 to contain downside and bring reversal.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

23:01 GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor Y/Y Jul -0.30% -0.80%
1:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Jul 11 8
1:30 AUD House Price Index Q/Q Q2 1.80% 1.10% 1.70% 1.50%
4:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Jun F 0.50% -3.30%
9:00 EUR German ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Aug 22 27.1
9:00 EUR German ZEW (Current Situation) Aug 55 61.8
9:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Aug 41.3 48.1
18:00 USD Monthly Budget Statement Jul -98.2B 70.5B
     
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency traded narrow after retreating from Friday's high of 1.3433, bids are still noted at 1.3375, 1.3360 and 1.3340-50, buying interest is seen above 1.3325 (barrier with stops below), fresh demand should emerge further out at 1.3300-10 with stops placed below another barrier at figure, some buy orders are tipped at 1.3285, 1.3265 and 1.3250. On the upside, offers remain at 1.3420-25, 1.3445-50 and 1.3460-70, more sell orders are still seen at 1.3475-80, followed by combination of offers and stops at 1.3490-10 area, selling interest is tipped at 1.3520-30.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Hold long entered at 0.7945

Euro's rally after finding good support at 0.7916 last week adds credence to our view that a temporary low has been formed at 0.7874 (as wave v trough) last month and bullishness remains for this erratic rise from 0.7874 to bring retracement of recent decline to resistance at 0.8034 (previous 4th of a lesser degree) and possibly towards 0.8050 but reckon 0.8080 would limit upside and price would falter below 0.8100.

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Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.0850

Despite Friday's brief rise to 1.0984, as the greenback has retreated after faltering below last week's high of 1.0986, suggesting minor consolidation below said resistance would be seen and another pullback to 1.0904 support cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 1.0850 would limit downside and bring another rise later, above said resistance would signal recent rise from 1.0621 low (tentatively wave c trough) is still in progress for at least a retracement of recent decline towards 1.1000

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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