Monday, August 4, 2014

Action Forex Mid-Day Report 8-4-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Aussie Steady ahead of RBA Rate Decision

The Australian dollar is steadily in range as markets are awaiting RBA rate decision in the coming Asian session. The central bank is expected to keep rate unchanged at 2.50% and maintain the neutral stance. It would likely continue to pledge that "the most prudent course is likely to be a period of stability in interest rates". Markets are generally expecting the central bank to stand pat at least for the rest of 2014. Overall, the statement would deliver little new information. Note also that the Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement to be released on Friday should give some revisions to the economic outlook.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6794; (P) 1.6843; (R1) 1.6878; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside with 1.6894 minor resistance intact. Current developments indicated medium term topping at 1.7190 and the trend is possibly reversing. Further fall should be seen to 1.6692 key support level next. On the upside, above 1.6894 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another fall.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Monetary Base Y/Y Jul 42.70% 41.20% 42.60%
1:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Jun 0.60% 0.30% -0.50%
7:30 CHF SVME PMI Jul 54.3 56.2 54
8:30 EUR Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Aug 2.7 9.1 10.1
8:30 GBP Construction PMI Jul 62.4 62.1 62.6
9:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Jun 0.10% 0.00% -0.10%
9:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Jun -0.80% -1.00% -1.00%
     
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency traded narrowly and further sideways trading is in store, mixture of offers and stops remains at 1.3445-50, more stops are placed above 1.3460, but sell orders are still seen at 1.3470-80, followed by combination of offers and stops at 1.3490-10 area, selling interest is tipped at 1.3520-30. On the downside, bids remain at 1.3400, 1.3385-90 and in good size at 1.3365-75, stops are building up below 1.3350 barrier, fresh demand should emerge around 1.3325 and further out at 1.3300-10 with stops placed below another barrier at figure.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.6920

As the British pound has recovered after holding above Friday's low of 1.6812, suggesting minor consolidation would be seen and corrective bounce to 1.6880-90 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 1.6920-25 would limit upside and bring another decline later, break of said support would add credence to our bearishness for recent decline from 1.7192 top to bring further weakness to 1.6800

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Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF - Buy at 0.9010

Friday's selloff suggests a temporary top was formed last week at 0.9107 and this move also retained our view that further consolidation below this level would be seen and correction to 0.9035 is likely, however, reckon downside would be limited to 0.9004-08 support and bring another upmove later, above said resistance would extend the erratic rise from 0.8699 low towards resistance at 0.9157 but upside should be limited to 0.9175-80

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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