Monday, April 28, 2014

Action Insight Daily Report 4-29-14

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Sterling Struggles to Gain ahead of GDP

Asian equities are mixed in spite of the rebound in US stocks over night. Markets had little reactions to the new sanctions against Russian announced by US and EU. US president Obama said there will be seven Russians and seventeen companies to be included in the sanction list. Obama said that will remain "targeted" and "focus on some areas of high-tech defense exports to Russia". Meanwhile, EU added fifteen more names to the list of persons subject to targeted sanctions for the actions "undermining Ukraine's territorial integrity, sovereignty and independence." EU's sanctions include travel ban and asset freeze within EU. In the forex markets, commodity currencies extended their pull back against dollar while European majors are firm. However, Sterling struggled to extend gains against the greenback ahead of today's Q1 GDP report.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6770; (P) 1.6813; (R1) 1.6850; More...

With 1.6777 minor support intact, further rise is expected in GBP/USD. Larger rally from 1.4813 is expected to extend to 1.7043 key resistance level next. However, firstly, recent upside momentum has been rather week. Secondly, GBP/USD is close to 1.7043 key resistance. Break of 1.6777 minor support will be an early sign of reversal and will turn bias back to the downside for 1.6654 support instead.

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Economic Indicators Update

 

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Trade Balance (NZD) Mar 920M 900M 818M 793M
6:00 EUR German GfK Consumer Sentiment May 8.5 8.5
8:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Y/Y Mar 1.40% 1.30%
8:30 GBP GDP Q/Q Q1 A 0.90% 0.70%
8:30 GBP Index of Services 3M/3M Feb 0.90% 0.90%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Apr F -8.7 -8.7
9:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Confidence Apr 102.9 102.4
9:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Apr -3.1 -3.3
9:00 EUR Eurozone Services Confidence Apr 4.8 4.2
12:00 EUR German CPI M/M Apr P -0.10% 0.30%
12:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Apr P 1.40% 1.00%
13:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 Y/Y Feb 12.90% 13.24%
14:00 USD Consumer Confidence Apr 83 82.3
     
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency maintained a firm undertone after intra-day cable-led rally, indicated sell orders are still noted at 1.3885-00 (stops above figure), fresh offers are expected at 1.3920 and in good size further out at 1.3950. On the downside, bids remain at 1.3850, 1.3825 and 1.3800, more buy orders are tipped at 1.3775-85 (stops below), fresh demand should emerge around 1.3750 (stops below), 1.3725 and further out at 1.3700.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.0930

Despite Friday's rebound to 1.1047, as the greenback has retreated again after holding below last week's high of 1.1053, retaining our view that minor consolidation would be seen and pullback to 1.1000-05 and possibly 1.0980-85 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon support at 1.0940-45 would limit downside and bring another rise, above said resistance at 1.1053 would extend the rise from 1.0858 (tentatively wave iv trough) to 1.1065-70

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Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Hold long entered at 0.8220

Although the single currency slipped to 0.8218 earlier today on Pfizer news, as euro has rebounded again, retaining our view that near term sideways trading would continue and last week's low of 0.8198 should limit downside, bring another rebound to 0.8250 and then 0.8265-70, break of latter level would suggest low is possibly formed at 0.8198, bring at least a retracement of recent fall to 0.8283-85 but above resistance at 0.8310-15 is needed to signal recent decline has ended

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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