Saturday, April 12, 2014

Action Insight Weekly Report 4-12-14

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Dollar Tumbled Broadly on Fed Outlook, Stocks Hammered by Risk Aversion

The biggest developments last week were the sharp selloff in stocks and reversal of dollar's trend. DOW dropped -386 pts, or-2.4% to close at 16026.75. S&P 500 dropped -49.4 pts, or -2.6% to close at 1815.69. NASDAQ was even worse by dropping -128 pts, or -3.1% to close at 3999.73, losing 4000 handle. The dovish FOMC minutes during the week provided a brief lift to markets sentiments but the impact quickly faded as investors continued to pare back their positions. Indeed, both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ had their worst week since 2012 as the selloff in tech sector spread to others. Also, there were deep concern that the extremely poor weather has hurt earnings much during the first quarter. And markets are finally starting to be cautiously preparing for post QE days as Fed started tapering last December.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY's fall from 104.12 extended lower last week lost momentum ahead of 101.20 support and turned sideway. Initial bias is neutral this week first. We maintain the view that correction from 105.41 is going to resume soon, with fall from 104.12 as the third leg. Break of 101..20 will likely send USD/JPY through 100.75 to 100% projection of 105.41 to 100.75 from 104.12 at 99.46. Nonetheless, sustained break of 102.15 will delay the bearish case again and bring stronger recovery.

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Suggested Readings

 

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