Sunday, March 30, 2014

Action Insight Weekly Report 3-30-14

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

An Important Week ahead for Euro, Aussie, and Risk Markets

The developments in the markets last week were rather unexpected by us. The anticipated selloff in equities didn't happen and US indices were only staying in familiar range. Asian stocks were boosted by talk of additional stimulus by the Chinese government as economic outlook worsened. The MSCI Asia Pacific index staged the strongest weekly advance for nearly a year. And the risk appetite helped boosted commodity currencies broadly higher. Aussie, Lonnie and Kiwi all gained broadly, in order of strength. While treasury yield had another decline attempt, loss was limited and quickly recovered. The resilience in yields and stocks lifted yen crosses towards the end of the week and the anticipated sell-off in yen cross also didn't help. One more important development was the turn in fortune in Euro. In particular, EUR/GBP reversed much of March's gain and is now looking a bit bearish. There were again, renewed speculation of stimulus from ECB just ahead of this week's meeting.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

The decline from 1.3966 resumed last week and extended lower. But overall outlook is unchanged. There is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Fall from 1.3966 is viewed as a correction pattern. Thus, we'd still expect strong support from 1.3642 to contain downside and bring rally resumption . Above 1.3875 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3966 first. However, we'd also like to point out the possibility that rise from 1.2755 could have completed with five waves up to 1.3966. Break of 1.3642 will at least confirm near term reversal and target 1.3476 support next.

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Suggested Readings

 

The Week in Review and Outlook

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