Sunday, November 24, 2013

Action Insight Weekly Report 11-24-13

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Yen Weakened Broadly on Risk Appetite, Dollar Mixed Against Other Majors

The financial markets were rather mixed last week. A major question is whether markets are pricing in stimulus withdrawal from Fed sooner than March 2014? The answer was not clear. On the one hand, equities surged to new record high, with DOW breaking through 16000 psychological level to close at 16064.77. S&P 500 also broke through 1800 psychological level to close at 1804.84. Dollar index closed the week mildly lower at 80.647. But we saw EUR/USD back above 1.35 while USD/CHF was below 0.91. It seemed that markets thought Fed's stimulus was to stay. But then, 30 year yield jumped to new 2013 high at 3.938% before closing at 3.838%, ended the week mildly higher. 10 year yield also strengthened to as high as 2.839% before closing at 2.752%. USD/JPY jumped sharply to close above 101 level. And these argued that Fed would start tapering soon. These messages are rather conflicting.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY's rally extended to as high as 164.37 last week and took out 163.05 resistance decisively. Initial bias remains on the upside this week and current rise should target long term fibonacci level at 168.11 next. On the downside, break of 161.75 support is needed to signal topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish.

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Suggested Readings

 

The Week in Review and Outlook

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